Canceled Agreements, Lost Stability: How Somalia’s Security and Economy Are Paying the Price

 Canceled Agreements, Lost Stability: How Somalia’s Security and Economy Are Paying the Price

The cancellation of security and port agreements has delivered a direct blow to Somalia’s stability. Rather than strengthening the country, these decisions weaken security structures and expose the real objective: excluding moderate partners who played a role in maintaining balance and cooperation. The result is a growing security vacuum that risks being filled by more extreme forces.

Economic Fallout: Ports, Jobs, and Investor Confidence

The economic consequences are already clear. Somalia’s ports, vital to jobs, trade, and maritime security, are disrupted. Investor confidence is shaken as uncertainty replaces predictability. When port operations and security cooperation are undermined, the Somali economy becomes the sole casualty of political maneuvering.

Mogadishu as a Tool in Regional Conflicts

More critically, Mogadishu is no longer acting through an independent national decision-making process. Instead, the government has chosen to position itself as a tool within a regional axis conflict hostile to peace and economic integration. This shift deepens internal divisions, weakens security, and damages economic prospects.

Without moderate partners and functioning security agreements, Somalia faces long-term instability. Maritime routes and ports may become contested zones, increasing the risk of piracy, smuggling, and external interference. The fragile balance that supported regional trade and security is at risk of collapsing entirely.

For Somalia to regain stability, it must prioritize independent national decisions over alignment with external axes. Rebuilding trust with security and economic partners, restoring port operations, and maintaining maritime security are essential to prevent further economic losses and security deterioration.

Somalia’s future stability depends on security partnerships, economic confidence, and independent national choices. Undermining these pillars only widens insecurity, harms livelihoods, and distances the country from peace and sustainable economic integration.