Somalia’s Future Amid Political and Security Challenges

 Somalia’s Future Amid Political and Security Challenges

New Political Directions in Mogadishu

In recent days, Somalia has witnessed significant political and security developments that could reshape its regional position. Among the most notable is Somalia’s growing security cooperation with Saudi Arabia and Egypt, along with several meetings in Mogadishu aimed at strengthening security collaboration and supporting stability.

While these meetings may appear positive on paper, they raise questions about the independence of national decision-making and the extent to which they serve the Somali people’s interests, especially amid surrounding regional tensions.

Withdrawal of International Partners from Ports and Bases

Recently, some international partners have begun withdrawing from ports and military bases following the cancellation of previous agreements. This move has sparked serious concerns about the future of security and stability in the country, as any vacuum created by these withdrawals could harm infrastructure and increase economic and security challenges.

Rather than reinforcing national sovereignty, these steps could weaken institutions, reduce investments, and heighten internal risks, leaving Somalia more vulnerable to conflicts and regional pressures.

Ongoing Security Challenges

Security threats remain persistent, with Al-Shabaab reportedly taking control of new areas in Jubaland. This deterioration raises questions about the impact of internal political disputes and the cancellation of partnerships on the state’s ability to protect its territory.

Security must always be the top priority before political calculations or attempts at regional repositioning, as any internal vacuum or weakness directly affects citizens’ lives and societal stability.

Balancing Sovereignty and Stability

All these developments indicate that Somalia stands at a crossroads: it can either maintain independent national decision-making and prioritize the welfare and internal stability of its people, or become a field for regional power struggles, weakening the state and deepening divisions.

Future steps for Somalia should focus on:

• Strengthening internal security and border protection.

• Supporting development and infrastructure across all regions.

• Making political decisions free from regional pressures.

• Preserving national decision-making independence and state unity.