Ethiopia is swimming in a wave of conflict, with Abiy Ahmed seeking a centralized government and anti-traditional groups describing it as indirect power.
Abiy has made an extension of time in preparation for his desire to stay in office for a long time. At the heart of this ambition was a powerful central government, and he was said to believe that an extension would allow him to build the Ethiopia he wanted.
Somalia is on the verge of a civil war after President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo tried to extend his term by two years, applying for a tripartite agreement between Ethiopia, Eritrea and Somalia.
The three leaders of Farmajo, Abiy and Afwerki share the same view of anti-Federalism. President Farmajo told some staff of the Ministry of Information in May that he had a private meeting to try to reduce the power of the regional administrations but it was difficult.
The tripartite agreement between Abiy, Farmajo and Afwerki had three phases:
1- One must stay in power for a long time.
2. To establish strong central governments and overthrow federalism or weaken the federal system.
3. Building an army that believes in their vision, and then their plan was to build a profitable market with Somaliland heading towards Mogadishu, while Djibouti would eventually be forced to enter into an agreement with its weak side.
Afwerki's work was straightforward, Abiy was absent from parliament and could have been the key to legislation to be created while Farmajo was not in control of all three. So Farmajo is said to be the person who was 100% helped.
Prime Minister Abiy seized control of the Ethiopian parliament and persuaded him to postpone the election, but the speaker of the upper house resigned.
Farmajo also accepted the Somali Parliament after ousting Speaker of Parliament Mohamed Sheikh Osman Jawari, but was opposed by Speaker of the Upper House Abdi Hashi Abdullahi.
When Farmajo tried to go the extra mile and as Abiy postponed the election a war broke out that threatened the capital.
According to sources close to the deal, the plan was for Abiy's case to be fully supported by a strong army, but Abiy Ahmed was overwhelmed and Tigray understood the plan and opposed it. .
Fighting more than 1,000km from Addis Ababa has reached the point where he is less than 400km from the capital.
Eritrean leader Afwerki tried to help Abiy Ahmed, deployed troops along Eritrea's border with the northern region of Tigray, and captured the town of Mekelle, where he reportedly fought with Somali troops who were training in the country. Eritrea is the force that is preparing to implement the tripartite agreement.
Afwerki's military wing has not benefited Abiy and Tigray has recaptured and the country is in danger of falling out of control today. An artificial election and his re-election have exacerbated the situation.
Farmajo can't do much for Abiy now that he has his own, while Afwerki is keeping an eye on the world.
President Farmajo is missing an important friend and Abiy Ahmed who is believed to have done a lot for him if he had not gotten into this difficult situation.
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